Scorecard
How Many Worlds predictions compare to actual outcomes
67.5%
MWR Accuracy
81/120 correct
64.1%
MWR Expected Rate
avg prob of our pick
60.0%
Market Accuracy
72/120 correct
60.5%
Market Expected Rate
avg prob of mkt pick
0.2366
MWR Brier Score
lower is better
0.2476
Market Brier Score
lower is better
11.4%
Avg Edge
|sim − market|
120
Games Scored
resolved w/ sim
+$477.65
Naive Kelly P&L
477.6% on $100 · $1296.86 staked · ROI 36.8% · 120 bets · ½-Kelly no cap
+$998.53
Cal. Kelly P&L
998.5% on $100 · $1280.31 staked · ROI 78.0% · 50 bets · ½-Kelly calibrated
+$869.84
Flex Kelly P&L
869.8% on $100 · $2935.32 staked · ROI 29.6% · 119 bets · ½-Kelly flex-side
+$357.92
Cal. v2 Kelly P&L
86.9% on $100 · $411.87 staked · ROI 86.9% · 31 bets · exp model
+$427.08
Flex v2 Kelly P&L
87.1% on $100 · $490.46 staked · ROI 87.1% · 30 bets · exp flex
+$746.51
2L v4 Kelly P&L
91.2% on $100 · $818.09 staked · ROI 91.2% · 33 bets · 2-layer policy
+$1131.27
v4∥Cal Kelly P&L
73.9% on $100 · $1530.89 staked · ROI 73.9% · 66 bets · v4 else cal
+$7.15
Bet-the-Market P&L
7.2% on $100 · $600.00 staked · ROI 1.2% · 120 bets · $5 flat
By Sport
MLB
74%
46/62 · Brier 0.205
NBA
70%
28/40 · Brier 0.248
NHL
45%
5/11 · Brier 0.301
Earnings
17%
1/6 · Brier 0.377
Cricket
100%
1/1 · Brier 0.195
All Predictions
| Date | Game | Sport | MWR | Market | Winner | Result | Brier | Cal. Prob | Naive Bet | Naive P&L | Cal. Bet | Cal. P&L | Flex Bet | Flex P&L | v2 Bet | v2 P&L | fv2 Bet | fv2 P&L | v4 Bet | v4 P&L | v4∥Cal Bet | v4∥Cal P&L | Mkt P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels | MLB | 64% Dodgers | 56% Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | ✓ | 0.126 | 32.1% Dodgers | $9.14 Dodgers | +7.03 | — | — | $21.62 Angels | -21.62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.85 |
| May 17 | Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox | MLB | 60% Cubs | 55% Cubs | Chicago White Sox | ✗ | 0.363 | 23.4% Cubs | $6.28 Cubs | -6.28 | — | — | $28.55 White Sox | +34.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| May 16 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 74% Guardians | 61% Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | ✓ | 0.068 | 35.7% Guardians | $17.06 Guardians | +11.14 | — | — | $20.49 Reds | -20.49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.26 |
| May 16 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | MLB | 73% Phillies | 60% Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | ✓ | 0.073 | 95.3% Phillies | $16.76 Phillies | +11.41 | $44.15 Phillies | +30.05 | $44.15 Phillies | +30.05 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $44.15 Phillies | +30.05 | +3.40 |
| May 15 | New York Yankees vs. New York Mets | MLB | 66% Yankees | 57% Yankees | New York Yankees | ✓ | 0.116 | 35.0% Yankees | $9.85 Yankees | +7.28 | — | — | $19.55 Mets | -19.55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.70 |
| May 15 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | NBA | 77% Cavaliers | 61% Cavaliers | Pistons | ✗ | 0.595 | 33.2% Cavaliers | $21.02 Cavaliers | -21.02 | — | — | $22.55 Pistons | +34.55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| May 15 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | MLB | 51% Pirates | 55% Pirates | Philadelphia Phillies | ✗ | 0.265 | 80.6% Phillies | $3.61 Phillies | +4.50 | $32.53 Phillies | +40.57 | $32.53 Phillies | +40.57 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $32.53 Phillies | +40.57 | -5.00 |
| May 14 | Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros | MLB | 62% Mariners | 55% Mariners | Seattle Mariners | ✓ | 0.147 | 17.9% Mariners | $7.84 Mariners | +6.55 | — | — | $33.61 Astros | -33.61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.17 |
| May 13 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | NBA | 67% Pistons | 62% Pistons | Cavaliers | ✗ | 0.455 | 20.2% Pistons | $7.69 Pistons | -7.69 | — | — | $33.55 Cavaliers | +53.59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| May 13 | Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox | MLB | 59% Royals | 51% White Sox | Chicago White Sox | ✗ | 0.352 | 59.4% Royals | $9.76 Royals | -9.76 | $9.83 Royals | -9.83 | $9.83 Royals | -9.83 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $9.83 Royals | -9.83 | +4.90 |
| May 13 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox | MLB | 69% Red Sox | 55% Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | ✓ | 0.097 | 53.2% Red Sox | $14.98 Red Sox | +12.01 | — | — | $2.10 Phillies | -2.10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.01 |
| May 12 | Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves | MLB | 66% Braves | 53% Braves | Atlanta Braves | ✓ | 0.115 | 93.2% Braves | $13.53 Braves | +11.76 | $42.68 Braves | +37.10 | $42.68 Braves | +37.10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $42.68 Braves | +37.10 | +4.35 |
| May 12 | New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles | MLB | 68% Yankees | 62% Yankees | New York Yankees | ✓ | 0.103 | 37.5% Yankees | $8.33 Yankees | +5.21 | — | — | $19.49 Orioles | -19.49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.13 |
| May 12 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 52% Guardians | 56% Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | ✓ | 0.226 | 43.6% Angels | $3.57 Angels | -3.57 | $0.12 Angels | -0.12 | $0.12 Angels | -0.12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $0.12 Angels | -0.12 | +3.85 |
| May 11 | Thunder vs. Lakers | NBA | 85% Thunder | 82% Thunder | Thunder | ✓ | 0.023 | 27.2% Thunder | $8.95 Thunder | +2.03 | — | — | $33.31 Lakers | -33.31 | — | — | — | — | $11.47 Lakers | -11.47 | $11.47 Lakers | -11.47 | +1.13 |
| May 11 | Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros | MLB | 50% Mariners | 56% Mariners | Seattle Mariners | ✓ | 0.247 | 73.8% Astros | $5.46 Astros | -5.46 | $26.85 Astros | -26.85 | $26.85 Astros | -26.85 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $26.85 Astros | -26.85 | +3.85 |
| May 11 | Avalanche vs. Wild | NHL | 68% Avalanche | 56% Avalanche | Avalanche | ✓ | 0.105 | 62.7% Avalanche | $12.73 Avalanche | +9.80 | $7.18 Avalanche | +5.53 | $7.18 Avalanche | +5.53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $7.18 Avalanche | +5.53 | +3.85 |
| May 11 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays | MLB | 60% Blue Jays | 53% Blue Jays | Tampa Bay Rays | ✗ | 0.362 | 61.9% Blue Jays | $7.13 Blue Jays | -7.13 | $9.03 Blue Jays | -9.03 | $9.03 Blue Jays | -9.03 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $9.03 Blue Jays | -9.03 | -5.00 |
| May 10 | Knicks vs. 76ers | NBA | 72% Knicks | 53% Knicks | Knicks | ✓ | 0.079 | 27.8% Knicks | $20.49 Knicks | +18.54 | — | — | $23.50 76ers | -23.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.52 |
| May 10 | New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers | MLB | 52% Brewers | 53% Yankees | Milwaukee Brewers | ✓ | 0.232 | 88.8% Brewers | $4.94 Brewers | +5.68 | $39.55 Brewers | +45.51 | $39.55 Brewers | +45.51 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $39.55 Brewers | +45.51 | -5.00 |
| May 9 | Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles | MLB | 53% Orioles | 54% Orioles | Athletics | ✗ | 0.279 | 10.1% Athletics | $1.55 Athletics | +1.85 | — | — | $38.89 Orioles | -38.89 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| May 9 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | NBA | 64% Pistons | 62% Cavaliers | Cavaliers | ✗ | 0.414 | 51.5% Pistons | $21.03 Pistons | -21.03 | $10.58 Pistons | -10.58 | $10.58 Pistons | -10.58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $10.58 Pistons | -10.58 | +3.13 |
| May 8 | Knicks vs. 76ers | NBA | 73% Knicks | 52% 76ers | Knicks | ✓ | 0.071 | 50.7% Knicks | $24.17 Knicks | +25.66 | $2.13 Knicks | +2.26 | $2.13 Knicks | +2.26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2.13 Knicks | +2.26 | -5.00 |
| May 8 | Canadiens vs. Sabres | NHL | 72% Canadiens | 54% Sabres | Canadiens | ✓ | 0.078 | 72.5% Canadiens | $24.32 Canadiens | +29.13 | $24.76 Canadiens | +29.65 | $24.76 Canadiens | +29.65 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $24.76 Canadiens | +29.65 | -5.00 |
| May 7 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | NBA | 68% Pistons | 61% Pistons | Pistons | ✓ | 0.103 | 18.1% Pistons | $9.28 Pistons | +6.06 | — | — | $35.03 Cavaliers | -35.03 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.26 |
| May 7 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | MLB | 66% Royals | 56% Royals | Cleveland Guardians | ✗ | 0.442 | 68.1% Royals | $11.46 Royals | -11.46 | $13.34 Royals | -13.34 | $13.34 Royals | -13.34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $13.34 Royals | -13.34 | -5.00 |
| May 6 | 76ers vs. Knicks | NBA | 80% Knicks | 73% Knicks | Knicks | ✓ | 0.041 | 34.8% Knicks | $13.40 Knicks | +5.08 | — | — | $25.97 76ers | -25.97 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +1.90 |
| May 6 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | MLB | 52% Padres | 51% Padres | San Diego Padres | ✓ | 0.230 | 8.6% Padres | $1.53 Padres | +1.50 | — | — | $41.49 Giants | -41.49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.90 |
| May 5 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | NBA | 55% Pistons | 59% Pistons | Pistons | ✓ | 0.201 | 9.9% Cavaliers | $2.83 Cavaliers | -2.83 | — | — | $38.06 Pistons | +27.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.55 |
| May 5 | Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals | MLB | 61% Twins | 51% Nationals | Minnesota Twins | ✓ | 0.155 | 73.5% Twins | $10.99 Twins | +11.21 | $23.77 Twins | +24.25 | $23.77 Twins | +24.25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $23.77 Twins | +24.25 | -5.00 |
| May 4 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | NBA | 80% Spurs | 85% Spurs | Timberwolves | ✗ | 0.641 | 25.3% Timberwolves | $2.61 Timberwolves | +14.22 | $5.81 Timberwolves | +31.66 | $5.81 Timberwolves | +31.66 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $5.81 Timberwolves | +31.66 | -5.00 |
| May 4 | 76ers vs. Knicks | NBA | 77% Knicks | 71% Knicks | Knicks | ✓ | 0.055 | 34.4% Knicks | $10.26 Knicks | +4.29 | — | — | $25.64 76ers | -25.64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +2.09 |
| May 4 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays | MLB | 74% Rays | 53% Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | ✓ | 0.066 | 87.1% Rays | $22.29 Rays | +19.38 | $36.17 Rays | +31.44 | $36.17 Rays | +31.44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $36.17 Rays | +31.44 | +4.35 |
| May 3 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | MLB | 60% Dodgers | 57% Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | ✓ | 0.159 | 16.3% Dodgers | $3.15 Dodgers | +2.33 | — | — | $35.84 Cardinals | -35.84 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.70 |
| May 3 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees | MLB | 78% Yankees | 68% Yankees | New York Yankees | ✓ | 0.047 | 72.4% Yankees | $16.52 Yankees | +7.95 | $7.55 Yankees | +3.63 | $7.55 Yankees | +3.63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $7.55 Yankees | +3.63 | +2.41 |
| May 2 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics | MLB | 57% Guardians | 55% Athletics | Cleveland Guardians | ✓ | 0.187 | 32.1% Guardians | $11.03 Guardians | +13.76 | — | — | $13.93 Athletics | -13.93 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| May 2 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins | MLB | 57% Blue Jays | 55% Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | ✓ | 0.185 | 38.7% Blue Jays | $2.74 Blue Jays | +2.29 | — | — | $14.53 Twins | -14.53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.17 |
| May 1 | Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox | MLB | 51% Red Sox | 54% Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | ✓ | 0.244 | 32.5% Astros | $2.66 Astros | -2.66 | — | — | $15.04 Red Sox | +13.07 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.35 |
| May 1 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees | MLB | 74% Yankees | 61% Yankees | New York Yankees | ✓ | 0.069 | 45.8% Yankees | $16.77 Yankees | +10.95 | — | — | $12.11 Orioles | -12.11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.26 |
| May 1 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs | MLB | 54% Cubs | 55% Cubs | Chicago Cubs | ✓ | 0.214 | 61.2% Diamondbacks | $1.61 Diamondbacks | -1.61 | $15.08 Diamondbacks | -15.08 | $15.08 Diamondbacks | -15.08 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $15.08 Diamondbacks | -15.08 | +4.01 |
| Apr 30 | San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies | MLB | 53% Phillies | 56% Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | ✓ | 0.226 | 80.0% Giants | $3.53 Giants | -3.53 | $32.31 Giants | -32.31 | $32.31 Giants | -32.31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $32.31 Giants | -32.31 | +3.85 |
| Apr 30 | San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies | MLB | 72% Phillies | 59% Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | ✓ | 0.081 | 84.8% Phillies | $15.74 Phillies | +11.16 | $31.70 Phillies | +22.49 | $31.70 Phillies | +22.49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $31.70 Phillies | +22.49 | +3.55 |
| Apr 29 | Canadiens vs. Lightning | NHL | 59% Lightning | 60% Lightning | Canadiens | ✗ | 0.351 | 1.8% Canadiens | $0.24 Canadiens | +0.35 | — | — | $47.78 Lightning | -47.78 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 29 | New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers | MLB | 57% Rangers | 52% Yankees | Texas Rangers | ✓ | 0.185 | 34.5% Rangers | $8.21 Rangers | +8.72 | — | — | $14.43 Yankees | -14.43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 29 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox | MLB | 70% White Sox | 52% Angels | Chicago White Sox | ✓ | 0.092 | 92.0% White Sox | $20.58 White Sox | +21.85 | $42.24 White Sox | +44.86 | $42.24 White Sox | +44.86 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $42.24 White Sox | +44.86 | -5.00 |
| Apr 28 | Bruins vs. Sabres | NHL | 78% Sabres | 60% Sabres | Bruins | ✗ | 0.603 | 22.0% Sabres | $22.40 Sabres | -22.40 | — | — | $31.55 Bruins | +46.35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 28 | San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies | MLB | 56% Phillies | 61% Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | ✓ | 0.192 | 11.3% Giants | $3.57 Giants | -3.57 | — | — | $35.74 Phillies | +23.34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.26 |
| Apr 28 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 52% Rays | 53% Guardians | Tampa Bay Rays | ✓ | 0.231 | 33.0% Rays | $5.08 Rays | +5.84 | — | — | $14.48 Guardians | -14.48 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 27 | Pistons vs. Magic | NBA | 83% Magic | 57% Pistons | Magic | ✓ | 0.029 | 79.1% Magic | $35.22 Magic | +47.66 | $31.86 Magic | +43.10 | $31.86 Magic | +43.10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $31.86 Magic | +43.10 | -5.00 |
| Apr 27 | Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | MLB | 68% Blue Jays | 55% Blue Jays | Boston Red Sox | ✗ | 0.468 | 32.7% Blue Jays | $14.49 Blue Jays | -14.49 | — | — | $20.51 Red Sox | +25.59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 27 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 59% Guardians | 55% Guardians | Tampa Bay Rays | ✗ | 0.352 | 66.1% Guardians | $4.31 Guardians | -4.31 | $11.90 Guardians | -11.90 | $11.90 Guardians | -11.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $11.90 Guardians | -11.90 | -5.00 |
| Apr 26 | Lakers vs. Rockets | NBA | 58% Rockets | 55% Rockets | Rockets | ✓ | 0.175 | 6.2% Rockets | $3.04 Rockets | +2.44 | — | — | $44.44 Lakers | -44.44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.01 |
| Apr 26 | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | NBA | 51% Spurs | 65% Spurs | Spurs | ✓ | 0.236 | 12.7% Trail Blazers | $10.15 Trail Blazers | -10.15 | — | — | $32.08 Spurs | +17.66 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +2.75 |
| Apr 26 | New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros | MLB | 56% Yankees | 56% Yankees | Houston Astros | ✗ | 0.316 | 17.5% Yankees | $0.81 Yankees | -0.81 | — | — | $34.27 Astros | +42.74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 26 | Sabres vs. Bruins | NHL | 51% Sabres | 52% Bruins | Sabres | ✓ | 0.235 | 8.2% Sabres | $2.89 Sabres | +3.06 | — | — | $41.59 Bruins | -41.59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 26 | Cavaliers vs. Raptors | NBA | 52% Cavaliers | 61% Cavaliers | Raptors | ✗ | 0.274 | 15.6% Raptors | $6.74 Raptors | +10.33 | — | — | $30.31 Cavaliers | -30.31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 25 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | NBA | 79% Timberwolves | 52% Nuggets | Timberwolves | ✓ | 0.042 | 47.9% Timberwolves | $30.00 Timberwolves | +31.85 | — | — | $0.63 Nuggets | -0.63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 25 | Knicks vs. Hawks | NBA | 58% Knicks | 54% Knicks | Knicks | ✓ | 0.174 | 27.6% Knicks | $5.20 Knicks | +4.52 | — | — | $24.18 Hawks | -24.18 | — | — | $15.33 Hawks | -15.33 | $30.18 Hawks | -30.18 | $30.18 Hawks | -30.18 | +4.35 |
| Apr 25 | Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants | MLB | 63% Giants | 51% Giants | San Francisco Giants | ✓ | 0.136 | 50.3% Giants | $12.76 Giants | +12.50 | — | — | $0.16 Marlins | -0.16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.90 |
| Apr 25 | Thunder vs. Suns | NBA | 71% Thunder | 78% Thunder | Thunder | ✓ | 0.085 | 8.5% Suns | $4.28 Suns | -4.28 | — | — | $31.17 Thunder | +9.05 | $10.55 Suns | -10.55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | +1.45 |
| Apr 25 | Pistons vs. Magic | NBA | 52% Magic | 56% Pistons | Magic | ✓ | 0.235 | 30.3% Magic | $7.12 Magic | +9.24 | — | — | $15.23 Pistons | -15.23 | $9.60 Magic | +12.47 | $9.60 Magic | +12.47 | $13.76 Magic | +17.88 | $13.76 Magic | +17.88 | -5.00 |
| Apr 25 | Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles | MLB | 74% Orioles | 52% Orioles | Boston Red Sox | ✗ | 0.543 | 70.3% Orioles | $22.88 Orioles | -22.88 | $19.38 Orioles | -19.38 | $19.38 Orioles | -19.38 | — | — | $26.37 Red Sox | +28.01 | $37.76 Red Sox | +40.10 | $37.76 Red Sox | +40.10 | -5.00 |
| Apr 24 | Lakers vs. Rockets | NBA | 74% Rockets | 75% Rockets | Lakers | ✗ | 0.550 | 15.7% Lakers | $0.22 Lakers | +0.66 | — | — | $19.24 Rockets | -19.24 | $14.50 Lakers | +42.38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 24 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays | MLB | 71% Guardians | 53% Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | ✓ | 0.087 | 68.6% Guardians | $18.33 Guardians | +15.94 | $16.21 Guardians | +14.09 | $16.21 Guardians | +14.09 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $16.21 Guardians | +14.09 | +4.35 |
| Apr 24 | Celtics vs. 76ers | NBA | 67% Celtics | 73% Celtics | Celtics | ✓ | 0.107 | 13.3% 76ers | $3.58 76ers | -3.58 | — | — | $25.82 Celtics | +9.80 | $8.17 76ers | -8.17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | +1.90 |
| Apr 23 | Knicks vs. Hawks | NBA | 60% Hawks | 52% Knicks | Hawks | ✓ | 0.162 | 14.6% Hawks | $10.94 Hawks | +11.62 | — | — | $34.92 Knicks | -34.92 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 23 | Sabres vs. Bruins | NHL | 69% Bruins | 51% Bruins | Sabres | ✗ | 0.480 | 84.1% Bruins | $18.99 Bruins | -18.99 | $33.94 Bruins | -33.94 | $33.94 Bruins | -33.94 | — | — | $15.00 Sabres | +15.30 | $19.70 Sabres | +20.09 | $19.70 Sabres | +20.09 | -5.00 |
| Apr 23 | Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals | MLB | 55% Braves | 56% Braves | Atlanta Braves | ✓ | 0.207 | 29.9% Nationals | $0.86 Nationals | -0.86 | — | — | $16.39 Braves | +13.14 | $16.09 Nationals | -16.09 | $16.09 Nationals | -16.09 | $18.20 Nationals | -18.20 | $18.20 Nationals | -18.20 | +4.01 |
| Apr 23 | Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings? | Earnings | 55% No | 88% Yes | Yes | ✗ | 0.304 | 99.7% No | $24.51 No | -24.51 | $49.83 No | -49.83 | $49.83 No | -49.83 | $10.20 No | -10.20 | — | — | — | — | $49.83 No | -49.83 | +0.68 |
| Apr 22 | Magic vs. Pistons | NBA | 62% Pistons | 78% Pistons | Pistons | ✓ | 0.143 | 18.5% Magic | $9.87 Magic | -9.87 | — | — | $8.83 Pistons | +2.56 | $7.41 Magic | -7.41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | +1.45 |
| Apr 22 | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | Earnings | 67% No | 80% No | Yes | ✗ | 0.445 | 99.3% Yes | $8.33 Yes | +33.32 | $49.56 Yes | +198.24 | $49.56 Yes | +198.24 | $27.50 Yes | +109.99 | $27.50 Yes | +109.99 | $31.05 Yes | +124.21 | $31.05 Yes | +124.21 | -5.00 |
| Apr 22 | Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners | MLB | 63% Mariners | 63% Mariners | Seattle Mariners | ✓ | 0.137 | 40.7% Mariners | $0.60 Mariners | +0.36 | — | — | $17.47 Athletics | -17.47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.00 |
| Apr 22 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays | MLB | 55% Rays | 55% Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | ✓ | 0.206 | 24.5% Reds | $0.81 Reds | -0.81 | — | — | $22.44 Rays | +17.99 | $13.41 Reds | -13.41 | $13.41 Reds | -13.41 | $14.69 Reds | -14.69 | $14.69 Reds | -14.69 | +4.01 |
| Apr 22 | Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings? | Earnings | 66% No | 75% No | Yes | ✗ | 0.432 | 97.5% Yes | $5.87 Yes | +17.14 | $48.35 Yes | +141.26 | $48.35 Yes | +141.26 | $21.93 Yes | +64.08 | $21.93 Yes | +64.08 | $17.77 Yes | +51.92 | $17.77 Yes | +51.92 | -5.00 |
| Apr 21 | Rockets vs. Lakers | NBA | 75% Lakers | 65% Rockets | Lakers | ✓ | 0.061 | 84.8% Lakers | $30.83 Lakers | +56.02 | $38.22 Lakers | +69.44 | $38.22 Lakers | +69.44 | $7.04 Lakers | +12.79 | — | — | $28.66 Lakers | +52.07 | $28.66 Lakers | +52.07 | -5.00 |
| Apr 21 | New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox | MLB | 50% Yankees | 51% Yankees | New York Yankees | ✓ | 0.247 | 56.7% Red Sox | $0.22 Red Sox | -0.22 | $7.12 Red Sox | -7.12 | $7.12 Red Sox | -7.12 | $12.90 Red Sox | -12.90 | $12.90 Red Sox | -12.90 | — | — | $7.12 Red Sox | -7.12 | +4.90 |
| Apr 21 | Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 76% Guardians | 57% Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | ✓ | 0.058 | 88.9% Guardians | $21.65 Guardians | +16.00 | $36.95 Guardians | +27.31 | $36.95 Guardians | +27.31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $36.95 Guardians | +27.31 | +3.70 |
| Apr 21 | Will UnitedHealth Group (UNH) beat quarterly earnings? | Earnings | 78% No | 53% Yes | Yes | ✗ | 0.606 | 81.7% No | $29.09 No | -29.09 | $32.70 No | -32.70 | $32.70 No | -32.70 | — | — | $14.79 Yes | +13.12 | — | — | $32.70 No | -32.70 | +4.43 |
| Apr 21 | Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings? | Earnings | 54% Yes | 95% Yes | Yes | ✓ | 0.216 | 86.2% No | $21.67 No | -21.67 | $42.69 No | -42.69 | $42.69 No | -42.69 | $15.84 No | -15.84 | — | — | $12.01 No | -12.01 | $12.01 No | -12.01 | +0.29 |
| Apr 20 | Hawks vs. Knicks | NBA | 70% Knicks | 70% Knicks | Hawks | ✗ | 0.488 | 16.5% Knicks | $0.53 Knicks | -0.53 | — | — | $38.10 Hawks | +86.82 | — | — | $19.17 Hawks | +43.68 | $24.46 Hawks | +55.73 | $24.46 Hawks | +55.73 | -5.00 |
| Apr 20 | Flyers vs. Penguins | NHL | 57% Penguins | 57% Penguins | Flyers | ✗ | 0.327 | 17.8% Flyers | $0.24 Flyers | +0.33 | — | — | $29.12 Penguins | -29.12 | $4.79 Flyers | +6.48 | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 20 | Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox | MLB | 54% Red Sox | 55% Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | ✓ | 0.211 | 86.4% Tigers | $1.30 Tigers | -1.30 | $37.73 Tigers | -37.73 | $37.73 Tigers | -37.73 | $16.89 Tigers | -16.89 | $16.89 Tigers | -16.89 | $19.88 Tigers | -19.88 | $19.88 Tigers | -19.88 | +4.01 |
| Apr 19 | Magic vs. Pistons | NBA | 76% Pistons | 78% Pistons | Magic | ✗ | 0.572 | 5.8% Magic | $1.21 Magic | +4.18 | — | — | $37.13 Pistons | -37.13 | $11.61 Magic | +39.98 | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 19 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | MLB | 68% Guardians | 53% Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | ✓ | 0.100 | 63.9% Guardians | $15.93 Guardians | +13.85 | $11.22 Guardians | +9.76 | $11.22 Guardians | +9.76 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $11.22 Guardians | +9.76 | +4.35 |
| Apr 19 | Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees | MLB | 65% Yankees | 59% Yankees | New York Yankees | ✓ | 0.120 | 44.1% Yankees | $8.26 Yankees | +5.86 | — | — | $12.28 Royals | -12.28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.55 |
| Apr 19 | 76ers vs. Celtics | NBA | 84% Celtics | 88% Celtics | Celtics | ✓ | 0.027 | 15.6% 76ers | $2.27 76ers | -2.27 | $1.76 76ers | -1.76 | $1.76 76ers | -1.76 | $14.48 76ers | -14.48 | — | — | — | — | $1.76 76ers | -1.76 | +0.71 |
| Apr 18 | Rockets vs. Lakers | NBA | 78% Rockets | 68% Rockets | Lakers | ✗ | 0.605 | 76.8% Rockets | $15.78 Rockets | -15.78 | $14.32 Rockets | -14.32 | $14.32 Rockets | -14.32 | — | — | $26.40 Lakers | +54.83 | $35.31 Lakers | +73.33 | $35.31 Lakers | +73.33 | -5.00 |
| Apr 18 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | MLB | 56% Blue Jays | 57% Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | ✗ | 0.308 | 67.0% Blue Jays | $11.32 Blue Jays | -11.32 | $21.30 Blue Jays | -21.30 | $21.30 Blue Jays | -21.30 | $7.99 Blue Jays | -7.99 | $7.99 Blue Jays | -7.99 | $13.26 Blue Jays | -13.26 | $13.26 Blue Jays | -13.26 | +3.70 |
| Apr 18 | Hawks vs. Knicks | NBA | 58% Knicks | 68% Knicks | Knicks | ✓ | 0.179 | 32.8% Hawks | $7.28 Hawks | -7.28 | $0.24 Hawks | -0.24 | $0.24 Hawks | -0.24 | $2.94 Hawks | -2.94 | — | — | — | — | $0.24 Hawks | -0.24 | +2.41 |
| Apr 18 | Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | NBA | 68% Nuggets | 74% Nuggets | Nuggets | ✓ | 0.099 | 10.5% Timberwolves | $3.41 Timberwolves | -3.41 | — | — | $30.19 Nuggets | +10.88 | $7.15 Timberwolves | -7.15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | +1.80 |
| Apr 18 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | NBA | 66% Cavaliers | 78% Cavaliers | Cavaliers | ✓ | 0.114 | 9.5% Raptors | $7.28 Raptors | -7.28 | — | — | $28.86 Cavaliers | +8.38 | $5.73 Raptors | -5.73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | +1.45 |
| Apr 17 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins | MLB | 74% Twins | 61% Twins | Cincinnati Reds | ✗ | 0.551 | 40.3% Twins | $17.39 Twins | -17.39 | — | — | $16.66 Reds | +25.52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 17 | Hornets vs. Magic | NBA | 59% Magic | 60% Hornets | Magic | ✓ | 0.169 | 71.1% Magic | $15.46 Magic | +22.72 | $25.72 Magic | +37.79 | $25.72 Magic | +37.79 | $19.98 Magic | +29.35 | $19.98 Magic | +29.35 | $36.28 Magic | +53.31 | $36.28 Magic | +53.31 | -5.00 |
| Apr 17 | Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox | MLB | 58% Red Sox | 55% Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | ✓ | 0.177 | 26.6% Red Sox | $2.77 Red Sox | +2.22 | — | — | $26.07 Tigers | -26.07 | — | — | $11.41 Tigers | -11.41 | $24.52 Tigers | -24.52 | $24.52 Tigers | -24.52 | +4.01 |
| Apr 17 | Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees | MLB | 66% Yankees | 62% Yankees | New York Yankees | ✓ | 0.115 | 47.8% Yankees | $5.90 Yankees | +3.69 | — | — | $11.10 Royals | -11.10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +3.13 |
| Apr 17 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | MLB | 52% Rays | 53% Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | ✗ | 0.269 | 39.8% Rays | $4.97 Rays | -4.97 | — | — | $7.16 Pirates | +6.22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.35 |
| Apr 17 | New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | MLB | 67% Cubs | 57% Cubs | Chicago Cubs | ✓ | 0.107 | 69.5% Cubs | $11.54 Cubs | +8.53 | $14.10 Cubs | +10.42 | $14.10 Cubs | +10.42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | $14.10 Cubs | +10.42 | +3.70 |
| Apr 16 | Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | Earnings | 51% No | 97% Yes | Yes | ✗ | 0.258 | 99.7% No | $24.74 No | -24.74 | $49.86 No | -49.86 | $49.86 No | -49.86 | $16.91 No | -16.91 | — | — | $12.94 No | -12.94 | $12.94 No | -12.94 | +0.13 |
| Apr 16 | Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | MLB | 66% Rangers | 52% Rangers | Texas Rangers | ✓ | 0.113 | 71.7% Rangers | $15.30 Rangers | +14.41 | $20.87 Rangers | +19.66 | $20.87 Rangers | +19.66 | $6.85 Rangers | +6.45 | $6.85 Rangers | +6.45 | $23.09 Rangers | +21.74 | $23.09 Rangers | +21.74 | +4.71 |
| Apr 15 | Warriors vs. Clippers | NBA | 79% Clippers | 68% Clippers | Warriors | ✗ | 0.619 | 33.1% Clippers | $17.17 Clippers | -17.17 | — | — | $25.46 Warriors | +52.87 | — | — | $13.92 Warriors | +28.91 | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 15 | Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | MLB | 65% Astros | 63% Astros | Houston Astros | ✓ | 0.121 | 46.3% Astros | $3.66 Astros | +2.20 | — | — | $12.92 Rockies | -12.92 | — | — | $14.75 Rockies | -14.75 | $23.28 Rockies | -23.28 | $23.28 Rockies | -23.28 | +3.00 |
| Apr 15 | Magic vs. 76ers | NBA | 76% Magic | 53% 76ers | 76ers | ✗ | 0.582 | 45.6% Magic | $27.86 Magic | -27.86 | — | — | $0.93 76ers | +0.81 | — | — | — | — | $16.05 Magic | -16.05 | $16.05 Magic | -16.05 | +4.35 |
| Apr 15 | Red Wings vs. Panthers | NHL | 63% Red Wings | 60% Red Wings | Panthers | ✗ | 0.401 | 34.7% Red Wings | $4.68 Red Wings | -4.68 | — | — | $20.87 Panthers | +30.66 | — | — | $14.92 Panthers | +21.92 | $22.45 Panthers | +32.99 | $22.45 Panthers | +32.99 | -5.00 |
| Apr 15 | Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals | MLB | 72% Cardinals | 52% Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | ✓ | 0.080 | 38.3% Cardinals | $20.75 Cardinals | +19.54 | — | — | $12.80 Guardians | -12.80 | $5.01 Cardinals | +4.72 | $5.01 Cardinals | +4.72 | $24.31 Cardinals | +22.89 | $24.31 Cardinals | +22.89 | +4.71 |
| Apr 14 | Trail Blazers vs. Suns | NBA | 75% Suns | 59% Suns | Trail Blazers | ✗ | 0.567 | 12.8% Suns | $20.23 Suns | -20.23 | — | — | $39.03 Trail Blazers | +55.01 | — | — | $24.68 Trail Blazers | +34.79 | $30.82 Trail Blazers | +43.44 | $30.82 Trail Blazers | +43.44 | -5.00 |
| Apr 14 | Heat vs. Hornets | NBA | 54% Hornets | 68% Hornets | Hornets | ✓ | 0.213 | 8.6% Heat | $10.15 Heat | -10.15 | — | — | $36.70 Hornets | +17.67 | — | — | — | — | $31.11 Hornets | +14.98 | $31.11 Hornets | +14.98 | +2.41 |
| Apr 14 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | MLB | 71% Tigers | 53% Tigers | Detroit Tigers | ✓ | 0.085 | 61.3% Tigers | $19.24 Tigers | +17.41 | $9.29 Tigers | +8.40 | $9.29 Tigers | +8.40 | — | — | — | — | $17.12 Tigers | +15.49 | $17.12 Tigers | +15.49 | +4.52 |
| Apr 13 | Avalanche vs. Oilers | NHL | 53% Avalanche | 53% Avalanche | Avalanche | ✓ | 0.219 | 19.1% Oilers | $0.26 Oilers | -0.26 | — | — | $29.48 Avalanche | +25.62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.35 |
| Apr 13 | Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals | MLB | 63% Cardinals | 52% Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | ✗ | 0.402 | 44.2% Cardinals | $14.44 Cardinals | -14.44 | — | — | $4.46 Guardians | +4.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.71 |
| Apr 13 | Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | MLB | 62% Red Sox | 61% Red Sox | Minnesota Twins | ✗ | 0.386 | — | $2.06 Red Sox | -2.06 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 13 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | MLB | 62% Braves | 59% Braves | Miami Marlins | ✗ | 0.380 | 12.2% Braves | $3.79 Braves | -3.79 | — | — | $39.59 Marlins | +55.81 | — | — | $7.78 Marlins | +10.97 | — | — | — | — | -5.00 |
| Apr 13 | Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | MLB | 71% Yankees | 64% Yankees | New York Yankees | ✓ | 0.082 | 28.7% Yankees | $10.69 Yankees | +6.14 | — | — | $27.44 Angels | -27.44 | — | — | $16.07 Angels | -16.07 | $17.49 Angels | -17.49 | $17.49 Angels | -17.49 | +2.87 |
| Apr 13 | Hurricanes vs. Flyers | NHL | 60% Hurricanes | 55% Flyers | Flyers | ✗ | 0.361 | 18.0% Hurricanes | $14.07 Hurricanes | -14.07 | — | — | $29.75 Flyers | +23.85 | — | — | $12.96 Flyers | +10.39 | $25.39 Flyers | +20.36 | $25.39 Flyers | +20.36 | +4.01 |
| Apr 12 | Nuggets vs. Spurs | NBA | 61% Nuggets | 79% Spurs | Nuggets | ✓ | 0.154 | 86.8% Nuggets | $24.99 Nuggets | +91.23 | $41.57 Nuggets | +151.79 | $41.57 Nuggets | +151.79 | $9.61 Nuggets | +35.10 | — | — | — | — | $41.57 Nuggets | +151.79 | -5.00 |
| Apr 12 | Magic vs. Celtics | NBA | 57% Celtics | 85% Magic | Celtics | ✓ | 0.184 | 80.0% Celtics | $24.63 Celtics | +134.29 | $38.16 Celtics | +208.06 | $38.16 Celtics | +208.06 | $16.41 Celtics | +89.48 | — | — | $31.64 Celtics | +172.47 | $31.64 Celtics | +172.47 | -5.00 |
| Apr 11 | Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | NHL | 61% Panthers | 54% Maple Leafs | Panthers | ✓ | 0.151 | 91.9% Panthers | $14.33 Panthers | +17.17 | $42.58 Panthers | +51.00 | $42.58 Panthers | +51.00 | $18.56 Panthers | +22.23 | $18.56 Panthers | +22.23 | $38.09 Panthers | +45.62 | $38.09 Panthers | +45.62 | -5.00 |
| Apr 11 | Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Cricket | 56% Punjab Kings | 56% Punjab Kings | Punjab Kings | ✓ | 0.195 | 39.8% Sunrisers Hyderabad | $0.63 Sunrisers Hyderabad | -0.63 | — | — | $4.30 Punjab Kings | +3.31 | $20.12 Sunrisers Hyderabad | -20.12 | $20.12 Sunrisers Hyderabad | -20.12 | $31.59 Sunrisers Hyderabad | -31.59 | $31.59 Sunrisers Hyderabad | -31.59 | +3.85 |
| Apr 10 | Pistons vs. Hornets | NBA | 50% Pistons | 65% Hornets | Pistons | ✓ | 0.246 | 75.6% Pistons | $11.56 Pistons | +21.00 | $31.06 Pistons | +56.44 | $31.06 Pistons | +56.44 | $22.87 Pistons | +41.55 | $22.87 Pistons | +41.55 | $38.52 Pistons | +69.98 | $38.52 Pistons | +69.98 | -5.00 |
| Apr 9 | Heat vs. Raptors | NBA | 63% Raptors | 57% Raptors | Raptors | ✓ | 0.135 | 39.0% Raptors | $6.81 Raptors | +5.03 | — | — | $16.07 Heat | -16.07 | — | — | $8.40 Heat | -8.40 | — | — | — | — | +3.70 |
| Apr 9 | Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | MLB | 58% Twins | 51% Twins | Minnesota Twins | ✓ | 0.177 | 94.6% Twins | $7.08 Twins | +6.80 | $44.45 Twins | +42.71 | $44.45 Twins | +42.71 | $28.81 Twins | +27.68 | $28.81 Twins | +27.68 | $45.24 Twins | +43.47 | $45.24 Twins | +43.47 | +4.80 |